Polymarket Trader

manrant2

0x8b116223a9c9ed1e20d4630e549d27a070395a66

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $82.21
Realized PnL: $829.67
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.84K
Potential profit: $4.84K
User PnL: -$16.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $628.73
Potential profit: $628.73
User PnL: -$121.82

No position

Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $82.21
Potential payout: $293.59
Potential profit: $211.39
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $16.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.81

No position

Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.84

South Africa position

T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1)

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.68

Nepal position

T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.77

No position

Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.53

Royal Challengers Bengaluru position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.94

No position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.9

Ireland position

T20 World Cup: Australia vs Ireland (Game 1)

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.85

Adelaide Strikers position

Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Immunefi FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.19

CSDIILIT position

Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs CSDIILIT (BO3)

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.59

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.56

Australia position

T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.5

Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women position

WPL: Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women vs Mumbai Indians Women

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21

M80 position

Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$33.49

No position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40.92

Yes position

Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 22.5% 293.59 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 0.3% 4,842.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

No 11.7% 190.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

No 22.7% 438.56 shares
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during TPUSA events on April 17?

No 28.2% 463.16 shares
Will Trump say "Transgender" during TPUSA events on April 17?

No 30.9% 418.79 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

No 44.8% 7.41 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

No 31.9% 306.77 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

No 29.6% 541.42 shares
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Yes 19.7% 243.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 321.58 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Yes 30% 321.58 shares