Polymarket Trader

gengis111

0x8b14a322db0e518ed3e3fbe69f65690f3787d0b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $63.73K
Realized PnL: -$15.02K
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.83K
Potential profit: $153.83K
User PnL: -$15.61K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.91K
Potential profit: $132.91K
User PnL: -$12.85K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $21.85K
Potential payout: $55.31K
Potential profit: $33.46K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $2.18K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.5K
Potential profit: $34.5K
User PnL: -$9.09K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $18.19K
Potential payout: $34.32K
Potential profit: $16.13K
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $2.6K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $23.55K
Potential payout: $32.93K
Potential profit: $9.39K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $5.29K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $22.21K
User PnL: -$8.27K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $3.09K
User PnL: -$1.31K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $400.01
Potential profit: $397.41
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$156.71

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $144.81
Potential payout: $145.98
Potential profit: $1.17
User PnL: $26.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $773.19

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.16

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.43

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.37

Yes position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $209.76

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.15

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $103.66

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.92

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$205.11

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$472.03

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$705.94

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$779.43

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$871.65

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.34K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.74K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.96K

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.28K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.38K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.4K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.77K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Yes 25% 4,162.4 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Yes 25% 7,568 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Yes 31.4% 1,562.18 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Yes 45% 4,268.44 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Yes 45% 4,268.44 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

No 42% 7,193.87 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

No 34% 10,000 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

No 34% 10,000 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

No 44% 793.64 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

No 57% 1,700.07 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?

Yes 45% 2,451.6 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

No 51.2% 20,000 shares