Polymarket Trader

k3ll

0x8b1b64223152941b36edc36642b6abf436478263

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $150.15
Realized PnL: $374.04
Win rate: 78.6%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $150.15
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $239.85
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$132.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.14
Potential profit: $200.14
User PnL: -$38.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.08
Potential profit: $200.08
User PnL: -$26.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$45.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $199.97
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146

Yes position

Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.42

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.73

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $3.94

No position

China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?

Yes 72.5% 390 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 87% 250 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 25% 197 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 87% 250 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 23% 197 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 92% 30 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 91% 170.38 shares
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?

No 98.3% 206.54 shares
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?

No 96.8% 206.54 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops Edition

No 19% 100 shares
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?

Yes 4% 99.99 shares
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?

Yes 20% 100 shares