Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.42K
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $115.43
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $421.47
Polymarket Trader
CozaNostra
0x8b25902ff69ca61a2070f68744d4fff00a4bd739
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.65K
- Realized PnL
- $1.07K
- Win rate
- 47.6%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- User PnL
- -$92.99
Yes position
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- User PnL
- -$256
Yes position
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- $848.98
Yes position
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$478
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $123.54
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $29.82
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $275.58
- Potential payout
- $348.84
- Potential profit
- $73.26
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$24.42
Yes position
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $83.3
- Potential payout
- $150.08
- Potential profit
- $66.79
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$16.7
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $54.17
- Potential payout
- $54.47
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $4.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Usyk position
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.31
No position
Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.11
No position
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $11.09
No position
Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
No position
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21
No position
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.94
No position
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$248.69
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$260.87
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$501.7
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$625.64
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.57K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 6.8% 132.35 shares
- Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 4.2% 23.81 shares
- Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 8% 175 shares
- Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 4.2% 214.29 shares
- Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 4.2% 239.5 shares
- Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 3.6% 2,035.2 shares
- Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 6.8% 2,371.89 shares
- Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 8% 2,209.64 shares
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 10.2% 2,509.8 shares
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 19.1% 2,496.34 shares
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 46.7% 2,473.05 shares