No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
STCM
0x8b30fa8d62216117e94cb462e168322a55b810b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.97
- Realized PnL
- $104.29
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $7.97
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $5.54
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.71
Yes position
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $139-150m?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.01
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.18
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.96
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.94
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $115-125m?
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25m and 29.9m views?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?
Ends Jul 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will "Elio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $20-23m?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will "28 Years Later" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $34m?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Another US debt downgrade in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?
Ends Aug 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?No 74% 13.51 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 19% 52.63 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 92.6% 21.97 shares
- Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?No 84.6% 13.98 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 85% 6.02 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No 92% 5.55 shares
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No 94.9% 5.29 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 6.09 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No 59% 7.46 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 48% 8.1 shares
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No 90% 3.33 shares
- Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No 72% 3.44 shares