Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $144.93
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Ofir12
0x8b33fe40bd02ffc673a7d4812135ee4aad113134
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $284.32
- Realized PnL
- $446.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Current value
- $17.05
- Potential payout
- $41.99
- Potential profit
- $24.94
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $30.02
- Potential payout
- $39.5
- Potential profit
- $9.48
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $22.86
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $12.86
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $23.78
- Potential payout
- $32.8
- Potential profit
- $9.02
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $22.31
- Potential payout
- $29.54
- Potential profit
- $7.24
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $17.6
- Potential payout
- $29.33
- Potential profit
- $11.73
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Current value
- $23.68
- Potential payout
- $27.31
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $3.68
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $21.18
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $20.37
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $4.32
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $18.57
- Potential payout
- $24.59
- Potential profit
- $6.02
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $3.57
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.8%
- Current value
- $21.16
- Potential payout
- $24.4
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $19.3
- Potential payout
- $23.68
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $16.63
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $2.6
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.88
- Potential profit
- $16.88
- User PnL
- -$14.01
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $9.83
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.72
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.1
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.96
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.66
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.72
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.4
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.53
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.19
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.14
No position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.42
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.98
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.85
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.05
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.97
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.46
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.65
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 87% 11.49 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?No 73.2% 27.31 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 82% 24.39 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 20.6% 138.09 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 25.5% 78.5 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 78% 19.23 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 16.8% 59.59 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No 76% 26.32 shares
- Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?No 79.3% 30.27 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No 61% 24.59 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 95.2% 15.55 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 90% 15.56 shares