Polymarket Trader

Bsau4

0x8b4410e877fa826c7e986dfb30a5be73d72163fb

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.35K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $2.88K
User PnL: -$166.38

No position

FDA approves Sanofi's Dupixent?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$27.61

No position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$54.73

No position

Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$58.25

No position

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$94.07

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$221.28

No position

ChatGPT Outage by May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$150.83

No position

Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $104.94
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $999.67
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$86.14

Yes position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$39.94

Yes position

Will The Alternative be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$30.91

Yes position

Will Citizens’ Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$30.63

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.30 on March 13?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $914.36
Potential profit: $914.36
User PnL: -$11.39

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $900.63
Potential payout: $912.03
Potential profit: $11.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $306.68

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $885.6
Potential profit: $885.6
User PnL: -$70.27

No position

Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $47.03
Potential payout: $855
Potential profit: $807.98
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$12.83

Yes position

Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $853.43
Potential profit: $853.43
User PnL: -$82.85

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-08 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $55.46
Potential payout: $853.2
Potential profit: $797.74
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $4.27

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $850.94
Potential profit: $850.94
User PnL: -$89.3

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $55.24
Potential payout: $849.78
Potential profit: $794.54
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$22.72

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the MN-04 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $46.36
Potential payout: $842.99
Potential profit: $796.63
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$21.07

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $60.93
Potential payout: $812.39
Potential profit: $751.46
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $9.67

Yes position

Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $796.92
Potential profit: $796.92
User PnL: -$76.39

Yes position

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $83.58
Potential payout: $796.01
Potential profit: $712.43
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $9.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?

Yes 2.3% 159.41 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?

Yes 2% 133.29 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 41% 48.78 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 41% 48.78 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 41% 48.78 shares
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Yes 1.9% 111.62 shares
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

Yes 3.8% 152 shares
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Yes 1.6% 34.66 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 41% 48.78 shares
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

No 22% 90.9 shares
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?

Yes 21% 56.55 shares
Will Spencer Pratt call for 1st round recount?

Yes 32% 15.78 shares