Polymarket Trader

0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952

0x8b4bca1d794779e66e023d44391b2a86c5ab541b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.43M
Realized PnL: $208.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $271.01K
Potential payout: $275K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$412.5

No position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $249.12K
Potential payout: $250K
Potential profit: $875
User PnL: -$125

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $219.72K
Potential payout: $220.94K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: $29.09K

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $214.28K
Potential payout: $215.9K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: $5.63K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $171.95K
Potential payout: $190K
Potential profit: $18.05K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $16.92K

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $139.17K
Potential payout: $147.82K
Potential profit: $8.65K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.82K

No position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $122.33K
Potential payout: $130.83K
Potential profit: $8.5K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $14.23K

No position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $109.07K
Potential payout: $110K
Potential profit: $935
User PnL: $275

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $104.96K
Potential payout: $107.71K
Potential profit: $2.75K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $161.56

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $95.94K
Potential payout: $106.01K
Potential profit: $10.07K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.53K

No position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $104.12K
Potential payout: $104.43K
Potential profit: $313.3
User PnL: $2.81K

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $94.35K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$250

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $91.5K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $8.5K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.5K

No position

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $80.14K
Potential payout: $82.58K
Potential profit: $2.44K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.25K

No position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $79.64K
Potential payout: $80K
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: $680

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $48.14K
Potential payout: $55.02K
Potential profit: $6.88K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $6.67K

No position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $49.42K
Potential payout: $49.84K
Potential profit: $423.65
User PnL: $74.76

No position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $39.78K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $29.95K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: $860.1

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $25.33K
Potential payout: $26.22K
Potential profit: $891.55
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $598.46

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $25.64K
Potential payout: $25.83K
Potential profit: $193.76
User PnL: $1.83K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $23.97K
Potential payout: $25.7K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$87.82

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $21.38K
Potential payout: $25.6K
Potential profit: $4.22K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $6.54K

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $17.99K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.98K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.02K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.47K

No position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.46K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86K

Shnaider position

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.6K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5K

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.58K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47K

Alcaraz position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17K

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92K

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.86K

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.86K

76ers position

Timberwolves vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13K

Yes position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91K

No position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.09K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 88% 20,000 shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 93.3% 772.01 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 94.1% 14,744.97 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

No 96.8% 3,487.78 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

No 98.8% 315.75 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

No 98.2% 489.95 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.1% 1,928.64 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 40% 15 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

No 20.2% 2,242.42 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

No 95.6% 12,100.32 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

No 95.4% 300 shares
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

No 99.7% 23,774.02 shares