Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x8B52498fc11d163714801a388aD0989C4A1074b9-1781229749384
0x8b52498fc11d163714801a388ad0989c4a1074b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.36
- Realized PnL
- -$7.68
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $51.86
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
No position
Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.72
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $50.83
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.75
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.25
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $1.75
N
No position
Laso Finance FDV above $3M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $47.91
- Potential profit
- $42.88
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $42.27
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
No position
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $5.62
- Potential payout
- $45.3
- Potential profit
- $39.68
- Multiplier
- 8.06x
- User PnL
- $0.62
N
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37 and 39 million views on day 2?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.23
- Potential profit
- $42.23
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will T1 Qualify to the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $39.38
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
No position
Over $2M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $39.69
- Potential profit
- $32.94
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $37.86
- Potential profit
- $29.72
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $3.14
No position
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $36.07
- Potential profit
- $31.56
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $30.89
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $5.57
- Potential payout
- $34.8
- Potential profit
- $29.23
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will LAB dip to $10 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $34.33
- Potential profit
- $33.77
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$4.43
No position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $114 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $34.01
- Potential profit
- $30.19
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
No position
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?
Ends Sep 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $27.83
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.5
N
No position
Argentina to score first vs. Cabo Verde?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $26.41
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $27.45
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.07
- Potential profit
- $29.07
- User PnL
- -$5
N
No position
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $22.78
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Germany to score first vs. Paraguay?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?No 23% 4.35 shares
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?No 20% 5 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?No 25% 4 shares
- Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?No 19% 5.26 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?No 25% 4 shares
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?No 22% 4.55 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of June 29 2026?No 20% 5 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 45 million views on day 3?No 23% 4.35 shares
- Will the announcers say "Pocket" during Netherlands vs Morocco?No 25% 4 shares
- Will "Little Brother" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?No 18.5% 5.41 shares
- Paraguay leading at halftime?No 10.9% 9.17 shares
- Germany to score first vs. Paraguay?No 25% 4 shares