Polymarket Trader

SergiLuka

0x8b5c4633d8b4a2c33e75d54fd5c1ab2dc7cd9164

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.66
Realized PnL: $8.55
Win rate: 76.2%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.85
Potential profit: $207.85
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.37
Potential profit: $25.37
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.34
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.11
Potential profit: $21.11
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Gianni Infantino attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.94
Potential profit: $17.94
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Judy Shelton attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.31
Potential profit: $16.31
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Rastriya Janamorcha win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.24
Potential profit: $13.24
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.78
Potential profit: $9.78
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $6.1
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Al Green attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $5.13
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Dana White attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Nepali Congress win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.37
Potential profit: $4.37
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.55
Potential profit: $2.55
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $2.41
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

No position

Will "Copshop" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will "Copshop" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (February 10)

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

ex-RUBY position

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will Trump say "Hellhole" this week? (February 8)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 17-23?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Erika Kirk attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.09

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will Ilhan Omar attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

ex-RUBY 76% 1.56 shares
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

ex-RUBY 64% 1.56 shares
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

ex-RUBY 56% 2.27 shares
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

ex-RUBY 44% 2.27 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 17-23?

Yes 90% 1.11 shares
Will Nepali Congress win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Yes 22.9% 4.37 shares
Will Rastriya Janamorcha win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Yes 7.6% 13.24 shares
Will Kevin Warsh attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 13% 23.08 shares
Will Kevin Warsh attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 13.7% 21.85 shares
Will Judy Shelton attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 12.3% 16.31 shares
Will Gianni Infantino attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 16.7% 17.94 shares
Will Dana White attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 23% 5 shares