Polymarket Trader

EdgarCaycey

0x8b6cbc09f98064816e6fc1c9bba2171b8ad864b4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.32
Realized PnL: $7.95K
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 26.3%
Current value: $20.45
Potential payout: $77.74
Potential profit: $57.29
Multiplier: 3.80x
User PnL: $9.64

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.13
Multiplier: 11.43x
User PnL: $0.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.44K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $788.14

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $618.73

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $422.89

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.16

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.07

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.48

Carano position

MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.16

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.58

No position

Will Trump attend UFC 327?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.9

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.77

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$41.25

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$74.25

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$76.96

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$230.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$339.47

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$777.13

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.15K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 53.8% 5 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 58.4% 294.44 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 59% 34.29 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 59.2% 92 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 60.2% 17.3 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 60.8% 17.3 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 61.4% 17.3 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 62% 17.3 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 62.5% 17.3 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 62.6% 20 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 56% 41.34 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 56.6% 17.3 shares