Polymarket Trader

0x8B6ea3C42faE5DC64E5A7D2F709c795500Ce48ba-1723462424270

0x8b6ea3c42fae5dc64e5a7d2f709c795500ce48ba

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $290.24
Realized PnL: $1.18K
Win rate: 20.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $290.24
Potential payout: $290.24
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $145.12

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.75
Potential profit: $227.75
User PnL: -$113.87

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.37
Potential profit: $224.37
User PnL: -$112.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.55
Potential profit: $195.55
User PnL: -$99.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.17
Potential profit: $182.17
User PnL: -$91.09

Down position

Solana Up or Down on October 26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.08
Potential profit: $146.08
User PnL: -$74.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 12PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.9
Potential profit: $136.9
User PnL: -$69.82

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 28, 7AM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.14
Potential profit: $134.14
User PnL: -$68.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 7AM ET

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.73
Potential profit: $129.73
User PnL: -$66.16

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.16
Potential profit: $98.16
User PnL: -$54.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 9AM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.85

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 5, 3AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 3AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9AM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.52

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will a Republican win North Dakota US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.49

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Maryland Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.31

Yes position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.12

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?

Ends Dec 16, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Down 50% 290.24 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Down 49% 14.32 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Down 50% 238.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 50% 175.37 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down 50% 224.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9AM ET

Up 51% 195.55 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 12PM ET

Up 51% 136.9 shares
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 7AM ET

Up 51% 134.14 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 3AM ET

Up 51% 418.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 7AM ET

Up 51% 129.73 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 56% 98.16 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Yes 45% 2,477 shares