Polymarket Trader

0x8b71010f8D18CccE16a37434778117EE2d6b8044-1735105889785

0x8b71010f8d18ccce16a37434778117ee2d6b8044

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $70.15K
Realized PnL: $354.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.57K
Potential profit: $84.57K
User PnL: -$7.21K

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.27K
Potential profit: $71.27K
User PnL: -$6.05K

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $60.09K
Potential payout: $66.4K
Potential profit: $6.31K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.48K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45K
Potential profit: $45K
User PnL: -$9.39K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.38K
Potential profit: $41.38K
User PnL: -$1.47K

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.05K
Potential profit: $38.05K
User PnL: -$252.9

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $5.38K
Potential payout: $37.1K
Potential profit: $31.72K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$9.11K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37K
Potential profit: $37K
User PnL: -$1.77K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $4.1K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $25.91K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$855

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$9K

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Pistons

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78K
Potential profit: $27.78K
User PnL: -$5K

Clippers position

Clippers vs. 76ers

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78K
Potential profit: $27.78K
User PnL: -$10K

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26K
Potential profit: $26K
User PnL: -$12.97K

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.31K
Potential profit: $25.31K
User PnL: -$3.29K

Celtics position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$13.5K

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Heat

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$5.75K

Nets position

Nets vs. Raptors

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$4K

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Lakers

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$4K

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $587.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.41K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $187.5

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Celtics

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$4.16K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Grizzlies

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$17K

Bulls position

Bucks vs. Bulls

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$13.99K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$5.75K

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Suns

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$15.75K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Nuggets

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.95K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.85K

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.75K

Clippers position

Rockets vs. Clippers

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.75K

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.09K

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.01K

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Heat

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.25K

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Mavericks

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.74K

Bulls position

Celtics vs. Bulls

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.12K

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.08K

Suns position

Thunder vs. Suns

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85K

Mavericks position

Pistons vs. Mavericks

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64K

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5K

76ers position

76ers vs. Grizzlies

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.05K

Hornets position

Hawks vs. Hornets

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6K

Bulls position

76ers vs. Bulls

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.55K

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Grizzlies

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25K

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11K

Pistons position

Bulls vs. Pistons

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.93K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $10.11K

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Raptors

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8K

Clippers position

Warriors vs. Clippers

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.57K

Raptors position

Raptors vs. 76ers

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.73K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.5% 30,000 shares
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

No 94% 4,527.66 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.2% 8,575.66 shares
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

No 92.7% 4,012.43 shares
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No 93.2% 553.65 shares
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No 92.1% 610 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 47% 5,000 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 47% 5,000 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 53.2% 1,999.99 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 54% 321.29 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 54% 539.44 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 93.7% 7,725.88 shares