Polymarket Trader

Rasconi

0x8b7136b29d8b450b13a763c7eae83cc8cf62c33e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.21K
Realized PnL: -$1K
Win rate: 16.7%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $2.37K
Potential payout: $41.91K
Potential profit: $39.54K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $919.62

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $13.29K
Potential profit: $12.26K
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $26.54

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.04K
Potential profit: $6.04K
User PnL: -$350.25

Egypt position

Spread: Egypt (-3.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $40.24
Potential payout: $3.83K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$9.76

Egypt position

Spread: Egypt (-4.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $35.92
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$14.08

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $2.24K
User PnL: -$533.57

Over position

Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $300.71
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $718.65
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$15.29

Egypt position

Spread: Egypt (-2.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $955
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$5

Egypt position

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $155
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $845
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$5

Lakers position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $728.79
Potential profit: $728.79
User PnL: -$204.06

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $234.38
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $390.63
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$15.63

Netherlands position

Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $547.75
Potential profit: $547.75
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $496.61
Potential profit: $496.61
User PnL: -$220

Netherlands position

Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $303.03
User PnL: -$100

Netherlands position

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.5
Potential profit: $137.5
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $119.05
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.86

No position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.24

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$10.62

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$21.15

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$186.56

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$208.64

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$634.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

Egypt 16% 1,000 shares
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)

Egypt 5% 1,000 shares
Spread: Egypt (-3.5)

Egypt 1.3% 3,832.47 shares
Spread: Egypt (-4.5)

Egypt 1.9% 2,660.97 shares
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5

Over 31% 1,019.35 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 40% 625 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 44.3% 496.61 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 20% 137.5 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 21% 119.05 shares
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Yes 58% 172.41 shares
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5

Over 65% 153.85 shares
Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)

Netherlands 18.3% 547.75 shares