No position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $60
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $940
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0x8b71...917c
0x8b71502ede6127732ec91ea6bb1bb31124c5917c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.27K
- Realized PnL
- $597.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $439.31
- Potential profit
- $429.21
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $22.74
- Potential payout
- $398.95
- Potential profit
- $376.21
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $336.63
- Potential payout
- $398.38
- Potential profit
- $61.75
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$5.86
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $203.3
- Potential payout
- $219.78
- Potential profit
- $16.48
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.3%
- Current value
- $43.55
- Potential payout
- $204.92
- Potential profit
- $161.37
- Multiplier
- 4.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.45
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $157.32
- Potential payout
- $182.93
- Potential profit
- $25.61
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $7.32
No position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $118.65
- Potential payout
- $153.1
- Potential profit
- $34.45
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $23.29
- Potential payout
- $124.22
- Potential profit
- $100.93
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $99.45
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $10.44
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $100.54
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $8.15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $93.33
- Potential profit
- $90.76
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $49.73
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $29.11
- Potential payout
- $31.47
- Potential profit
- $2.36
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $120.64
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.77
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.66
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.23
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $22.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.93
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.95
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.02
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Morocco?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.07
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $4.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 4.6% 21.74 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No 7% 1,000 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 4.2% 71.59 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 5.4% 37.04 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 5.4% 18.52 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 6.3% 31.95 shares
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 IR Iran?Yes 24.8% 40.32 shares
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 IR Iran?Yes 30.1% 249.17 shares
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown 98% 30.61 shares
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia?Yes 7% 1,071.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp 96% 104.17 shares