Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $96.28K
- Potential profit
- $94.69K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$428.17
Polymarket Trader
Bet1nthedark
0x8b881cf08d3a53d3711d7ea85783b94738e55f5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $77.25K
- Realized PnL
- $34.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.88K
- Potential profit
- $65.88K
- User PnL
- -$61.85K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $29.84K
- Potential payout
- $32.97K
- Potential profit
- $3.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.79K
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $508
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.49K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.33K
- Potential payout
- $10.31K
- Potential profit
- $979.12
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $327.46
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $9.12K
- Potential payout
- $9.91K
- Potential profit
- $793.05
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $963.5
- Potential payout
- $8.2K
- Potential profit
- $7.24K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- -$86.1
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.03K
- Potential payout
- $5.06K
- Potential profit
- $27.84
- User PnL
- $238.07
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $3.5K
- Potential payout
- $3.93K
- Potential profit
- $432.58
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.35K
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $478.13
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $338.18
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $3.65K
- Potential payout
- $3.77K
- Potential profit
- $126.44
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $691.02
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $2.77K
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $802.8
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$359.64
No position
World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $2.72K
- Potential profit
- $162.95
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$25.05
No position
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $2.26K
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $35.58
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $109.7
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $100.65
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $673.63
- Potential payout
- $720.46
- Potential profit
- $46.83
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $42.92
No position
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $102.47
- Potential payout
- $103.24
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- User PnL
- $7.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.95K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Crawford position
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $950.28
Usyk position
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $932.97
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $625.31
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $558.92
Usyk position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.37
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.4
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.59
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $391.14
No position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.57
Joshua position
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.92
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $265.81
Yes position
Will Usyk beat Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.87
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $244
No position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.28
No position
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.53
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $204.01
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?No 94.8% 126.62 shares
- World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?No 93.6% 320.64 shares
- World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?No 98% 120.41 shares
- World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?No 97% 103.1 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No 95.5% 50.26 shares
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No 88% 5,681.82 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.4% 26,000.01 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.2% 9,783.64 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 37.5% 20 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 35.7% 14,459.07 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 63.1% 10,850.87 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 66.1% 19.98 shares