Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.16K
- Potential profit
- $5.16K
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Polymarket Trader
0x8b9cDa20d3f87119d5881e41C6bFd3603F5a024C-1780801454887
0x8b9cda20d3f87119d5881e41c6bfd3603f5a024c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.59
- Realized PnL
- $23.92
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $39.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $560.1
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$6.1
Y
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.61
- Potential profit
- $29.61
- User PnL
- -$8.29
Y
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.29
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$15.09
Yes position
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.82
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$3.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.18
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.84
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Yes position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 34% 10 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.1% 167.03 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.1% 267.96 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.5% 209.22 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.8% 191.83 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.8% 332.17 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 11% 34.28 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 18% 20 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 8% 100 shares