No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
anothaonebitesthedust
0x8bace556530cf4ef1bc91e56efa0be429e8ecb3f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.23K
- Realized PnL
- $1.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $352.78
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$36
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $790.85
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $609.13
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $196.87
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $85.34
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $345.73
- Potential payout
- $853.66
- Potential profit
- $507.93
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$4.27
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $96.43
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $617.86
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.57
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $705.44
- Potential payout
- $706.5
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- User PnL
- $13.72
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $89.95
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $610.05
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $9.45
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $689.66
- Potential profit
- $689.66
- User PnL
- -$600
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.2%
- Current value
- $513.44
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $111.56
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $13.44
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$314
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $322
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $78
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $288
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $112
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $300.32
- Potential payout
- $303.36
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.26
- Potential profit
- $291.26
- User PnL
- -$235
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $238.67
- Potential payout
- $266.67
- Potential profit
- $28
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $38.67
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $13.56
- Potential payout
- $208.64
- Potential profit
- $195.08
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$164.76
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $88.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11.75
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $52.39
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Dvalishvili position
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.63
- Potential profit
- $50.63
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will President Trump sign less than 5 pieces of legislation into law in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$13.54
No position
Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.23
No position
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $147.72
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.11
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.38
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $66.17
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Shayne say "Airdrop" during 60 Minutes?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.86
No position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.86
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.74
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.73
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.12
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.73
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
No position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.44
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $13.22
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11.9
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $10.76
No position
Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $9.78
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.49
No position
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 85% 111.11 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 14% 714.29 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 27% 1,439.91 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 73% 400 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 94.1% 475.36 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No 91% 2,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 1,302.97 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?No 87% 689.66 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June?Yes 88% 150 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June?Yes 79% 58.64 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 94% 456.71 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 45.8% 153.51 shares