huanson

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336.51
Potential profit: $336.51
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $236
Potential profit: $232.11
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $223
Potential profit: $222.22
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223
Potential profit: $223
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.65
Potential profit: $218.65
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $208.2
Potential profit: $208.1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.48
Potential profit: $115.48
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $7.79
Potential payout: $100.54
Potential profit: $92.74
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $87.2
Potential profit: $85.81
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $78.25
Potential profit: $77.51
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $7.17
Potential payout: $69.25
Potential profit: $62.08
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $53.3
Potential profit: $50.45
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.85
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $42.63
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $11.48
Potential payout: $41.76
Potential profit: $30.28
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $39
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.25
Potential profit: $36.25
User PnL: -$10.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $33.71
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $33.65
Potential profit: $26.75
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $32.8
Potential profit: $26.24
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $14.72
Potential payout: $30.35
Potential profit: $15.63
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $10.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $19.05
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 22?