No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Polymarket Trader
Guappetto
0x8bbccbf41090778349442d6f4b60e05f7604e540
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.55
- Realized PnL
- $156.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.5
- Potential profit
- $157.5
- User PnL
- -$6.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.67
- Potential profit
- $133.67
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $53
- User PnL
- -$20.14
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.75
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$17.95
No position
Honus Wagner card sale >$5 million?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Honus Wagner card sale >$6 million?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$18.2
Yes position
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.6
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $18.74
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.25
- Potential profit
- $16.25
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $7.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.2
No position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.96
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.15
Yes position
Will the US strike Yemen next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Yes position
Kang Sun-woo in jail by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.16
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.83
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.47
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Yes position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US strike Somalia next?No 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 20 shares
- Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?Yes 9% 12 shares
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes 98.2% 5 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of January?No 4.6% 30 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of January?No 1.3% 133.67 shares
- Will Melania say "Be Best" during AI talk on Friday?No 69% 5 shares
- Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Yes 69% 5 shares
- Will Melania say "AI Companies" during AI talk on Friday?Yes 75% 5 shares
- Will Melania say "President Trump" during AI talk on Friday?Yes 77% 5 shares
- Will Melania say "Barron" during AI talk on Friday?Yes 39% 5 shares