Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $434.49
- Potential payout
- $6.17K
- Potential profit
- $5.74K
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- -$60.33
Polymarket Trader
zarodinu
0x8bccb4bdf6846bf22c2278eb9a7bc8ec675d90c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $434.49
- Realized PnL
- -$797.85
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.06
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Heat position
Bulls vs. Heat
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.08
Yes position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.72
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$197.4
Yes position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$747.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes 8% 6,171.73 shares
- Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?Yes 31.6% 315.62 shares
- Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?Yes 30.3% 494.06 shares
- Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?Yes 30.6% 814.2 shares
- Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?Yes 72.9% 478.6 shares
- Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?Yes 99.7% 655.41 shares
- Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?Yes 46.6% 655.41 shares
- Bulls vs. HeatHeat 36% 275.22 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 60.7% 161.46 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 0.3% 374.58 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 53% 374.58 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 61.9% 161.46 shares