Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.2K
- Potential profit
- $20.2K
- User PnL
- -$101
Polymarket Trader
0x8bCD35D1E63a6e624a803e88256b0F2D90C628A1-1770932196721
0x8bcd35d1e63a6e624a803e88256b0f2d90c628a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $548.45
- Realized PnL
- $4.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $521.91
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $491.51
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $91.91
Yes position
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.33
- Potential profit
- $134.33
- User PnL
- -$106.55
Yes position
Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.39
- Potential profit
- $71.39
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.38
- Potential profit
- $58.38
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.44
- Potential profit
- $54.44
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Yes position
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $26.54
- Potential payout
- $41.79
- Potential profit
- $15.25
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.04
- Potential profit
- $41.04
- User PnL
- -$16.35
Yes position
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.07
- Potential profit
- $32.07
- User PnL
- -$7.7
No position
Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.72
- Potential profit
- $15.72
- User PnL
- -$4.56
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Ten-Point Plan" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.91
- Potential profit
- $12.91
- User PnL
- -$6.97
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.31
- Potential profit
- $12.31
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.19
- Potential profit
- $2.19
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $743.11
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $501.36
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.97
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.51
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.52
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.7
Yes position
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.45
No position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.47
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.87
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.7
N
No position
Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.17
Yes position
Will "House Tour" get between 14 and 15 million views in the first week?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.47
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $18.92
No position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
No position
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.17
Yes position
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.74
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.54
Yes position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.21
Yes position
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
No position
Will Sabrina Carpenter arrest PinkPantheress during Juno?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
Will "House Tour" get between 13 and 14 million views in the first week?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?Yes 42.4% 1,013.42 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 68% 430.56 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 81% 295.89 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 16% 1,532.3 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 40% 1,532.3 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 45% 1,410.52 shares
- Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Yes 85% 1.93 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 1,410.52 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?Yes 52% 2.73 shares
- Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?No 85% 1.45 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 62% 953.32 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 70% 598.39 shares