Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $3.74K
- Potential payout
- $4.65K
- Potential profit
- $906.49
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$257.83
Polymarket Trader
Overlord36912
0x8bd82332873dfc8a80bd5c14b5051b8500f212df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.73K
- Realized PnL
- $8.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$401.76
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$949.23
No position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $171.19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $230.88
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $146.44
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $268.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $63.78
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $201.46
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $143.02
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$356.98
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.76
- Potential profit
- $827.76
- User PnL
- -$248
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $645.16
- Potential profit
- $645.16
- User PnL
- -$400
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $885.71
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $822.81
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $793.58
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.55
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.8
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.94
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.95
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.9
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $341.02
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.71
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.85
Dems position
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.57
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.75
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.92
Yes position
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.79
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.18
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $147.3
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.11
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.18
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.85
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.21
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 82% 1,268.67 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 99.9% 1,049.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 1,263.06 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 95.3% 1,049.27 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes 62% 645.16 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 81.4% 2,399.02 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 70.7% 1,414.84 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Yes 99% 2,175.56 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Yes 91.9% 2,175.56 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 98.1% 2,877.61 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 29.8% 161.09 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 30% 666.67 shares