No position
Will Markwayne Mullin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.16K
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $13.06
- User PnL
- -$10.88
Polymarket Trader
thcdmz
0x8be1c4989fc6b6b658081c2fc31388dd90e55731
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.83K
- Realized PnL
- $1.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Michael McCord be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $455.3
- Potential payout
- $462
- Potential profit
- $6.7
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$6.24
No position
Will Wade Burleson be the Republican nominee for OK-03?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $352.33
- Potential payout
- $355.35
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Defonsio Daniels be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $307.72
- Potential payout
- $312.41
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$4.37
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $191.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $8.9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
No position
Will Sharon Stokes-Williamson be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $187.31
- Potential payout
- $192.11
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$4.61
Yes position
Will Frank Lucas be the Republican nominee for OK-03?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $145.32
- Potential payout
- $147.61
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Amanda Hollowell be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $31.08
- Potential payout
- $32.22
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.74
No position
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.56
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.41
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.89
Saigon Warriors position
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.05
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Equatorial Guinea 0 - 0 Comoros?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.11
Yes position
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.29
Yes position
Will Powell say "Oil" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.77
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.79
No position
Will Drake have 3+ albums in the Billboard 200 top 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.33
Y
Yes position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.31
Yes position
Will Trump praise Jesus by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
N
No position
Will Starmer say "European Union" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.83
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.86
N
No position
Will Starmer say "Muslim" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.14
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sharon Stokes-Williamson be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?No 99.9% 192.11 shares
- Will Michael McCord be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?No 99.9% 462 shares
- Will Defonsio Daniels be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?No 99.9% 312.41 shares
- Will Amanda Hollowell be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?Yes 98.3% 32.22 shares
- Will Wade Burleson be the Republican nominee for OK-03?No 99.8% 100 shares
- Will Wade Burleson be the Republican nominee for OK-03?No 98.7% 153 shares
- Will Wade Burleson be the Republican nominee for OK-03?No 98.4% 63 shares
- Will Frank Lucas be the Republican nominee for OK-03?Yes 98.7% 11.57 shares
- Will Wade Burleson be the Republican nominee for OK-03?No 98.5% 39.35 shares
- Will Frank Lucas be the Republican nominee for OK-03?Yes 98.6% 136.04 shares
- Will Markwayne Mullin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?No 99.9% 2,176 shares
- Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No 99.9% 4,179.75 shares