Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $3.04
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $34.96
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
Lindy916
0x8bef72d88c6bf36b5ddae343b971a5367776e91a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.04
- Realized PnL
- $6.62
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 1 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 19% 73 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 20% 87 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 25.1% 85 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 10.74 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 58% 76 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes 79% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes 79% 60 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 84% 50 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.2% 46 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 17% 86.78 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 29% 68 shares