No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $673.85
- Potential profit
- $673.85
- User PnL
- -$9
Polymarket Trader
0x8bf94cd7eD44532858FcB87757F7aBccEbE8D8B9-1761483897603
0x8bf94cd7ed44532858fcb87757f7abccebe8d8b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $589.5
- Realized PnL
- $541.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $155.5
- Potential payout
- $158.67
- Potential profit
- $3.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $119.95
- Potential payout
- $120.55
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $97.97
- Potential payout
- $98.12
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.51
- Potential profit
- $76.51
- User PnL
- -$39.73
No position
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $74.78
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Trump and JD Vance not shake hands during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.36
- Potential profit
- $71.36
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $42.7
- Potential payout
- $42.76
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.02
Sri Lanka position
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealand
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.21
- Potential profit
- $34.21
- User PnL
- -$34
England position
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.9
- Potential profit
- $33.9
- User PnL
- -$20
Y
Yes position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $6.66
- Potential payout
- $33.73
- Potential profit
- $27.07
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $28.75
- Potential payout
- $28.87
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $24.69
- Potential payout
- $24.74
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $21.81
- Potential payout
- $21.88
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.97
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.17
Delhi Capitals position
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.11
- Potential profit
- $18.11
- User PnL
- -$4.89
Yes position
Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.7
- Potential profit
- $12.7
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Sunrisers Hyderabad position
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- User PnL
- -$7.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.25
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $6.8
- Potential payout
- $6.83
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.05
Gujarat Titans position
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.49
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
Royal Challengers Bangalore position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.54
Delhi Capitals position
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33
Gujarat Titans position
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titans
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.87
No position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.27
Yes position
Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Royal Challengers Bengaluru position
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.54
Over position
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Sunrisers Hyderabad position
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Nepal position
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs United Arab Emirates
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Nepal position
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs Oman
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Gujarat Titans position
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 99% 10 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 99.9% 199.98 shares
- Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 99.4% 98.12 shares
- Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 99.7% 24.74 shares
- Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 99.8% 6.83 shares
- Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 99.1% 15 shares
- Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 99% 13.87 shares
- Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 98% 108.9 shares
- Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 97% 39.77 shares
- Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 99% 10 shares
- Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 99.3% 59.46 shares
- Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 3.6% 27.78 shares