0x8BFcfAeAeA61291bB6002168fc3022593CD2b070-1767511048898

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$30

No position

US strikes Yemen by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336.22
Potential profit: $336.22
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.5
Potential profit: $316.5
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 5-11?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $155
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $116.24
Potential profit: $112.34
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.68
Potential profit: $89.68
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.16
Potential profit: $81.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.56
Potential profit: $71.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.57
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Tesla reach $510 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Packers position

Packers vs. Vikings

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.43
Potential profit: $46.43
User PnL: -$13

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on January 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.03
Potential profit: $42.03
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.29
Potential profit: $35.29
User PnL: -$6

No position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.92
Potential profit: $23.92
User PnL: -$9.85

Yes position

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.34
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$2.34

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.44

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.93

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.94

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.98

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.51

Knicks position

Clippers vs. Knicks

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pacers

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET