Polymarket Trader

0x8BFd87DbD73E356962fC3D1a9d079946994BFB46-1782827058358

0x8bfd87dbd73e356962fc3d1a9d079946994bfb46

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.04K
Realized PnL: $1.28K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $205.77
Potential payout: $875.62
Potential profit: $669.85
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$4.38

Under position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $705.95
Potential profit: $705.95
User PnL: -$321.56

Over position

Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $579.71
Potential profit: $579.71
User PnL: -$400

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $357.47
Potential payout: $496.48
Potential profit: $139.01
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $122.37
Potential payout: $309.79
Potential profit: $187.42
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $4.65

Under position

Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.69
Potential profit: $298.69
User PnL: -$95.58

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $15.49
Potential payout: $129.05
Potential profit: $113.56
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$10.91

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $50.76
Potential payout: $127.07
Potential profit: $76.3
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 80.9%
Current value: $98.95
Potential payout: $122.32
Potential profit: $23.36
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $67.89
Potential payout: $72.69
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $48.07
Potential payout: $56.22
Potential profit: $8.15
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $33.73
Potential payout: $55.3
Potential profit: $21.57
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $29.32
Potential payout: $50.13
Potential profit: $20.8
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $5.29
Potential payout: $21.15
Potential profit: $15.87
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $19.22
Potential profit: $14.13
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Switzerland vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $591.7

No position

Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.35

Over position

Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.54

Yes position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 45%
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$1.02

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$123.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

No 5% 515.93 shares
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 99.9% 990.31 shares
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?

No 99.9% 1,301.32 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

No 29% 515.93 shares
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score

No 49% 56.65 shares
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score

No 49% 178.04 shares
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score

No 49% 136.37 shares
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score

No 49% 7.78 shares
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score

No 49% 210.1 shares
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score

No 49% 22.22 shares
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score

No 49% 39.27 shares
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score

No 49% 265.94 shares