Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.75K
- Potential profit
- $30.75K
- User PnL
- -$123
Polymarket Trader
smartfire
0x8c06f711eb807916152ae1cb8dcaccc2775eb98a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $488.79
- Realized PnL
- $8.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $422.05
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $917.79
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$137.95
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$165.92
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$138.4
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$535.1
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$47.34
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $20.2
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $989.82
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$79.8
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $995.01
- Potential profit
- $995.01
- User PnL
- -$57.9
BIG position
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $990.58
- Potential profit
- $990.58
- User PnL
- -$446
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $27.13
- Potential payout
- $968.94
- Potential profit
- $941.81
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$72.87
Over position
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $849.27
- Potential profit
- $849.27
- User PnL
- -$507.02
Galions position
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $817.34
- Potential profit
- $817.34
- User PnL
- -$439
Yes position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $9.66
- Potential payout
- $805.26
- Potential profit
- $795.6
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$135.84
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$50
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy position
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$340
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $512.47
- Potential profit
- $512.47
- User PnL
- -$66.62
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $483.92
- Potential profit
- $482.71
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$276.79
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $398.19
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$194.2
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $397.33
- Potential profit
- $397.33
- User PnL
- -$53.07
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.7
- Potential profit
- $384.7
- User PnL
- -$11
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $384.62
- User PnL
- -$100
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $348.84
- Potential profit
- $348.84
- User PnL
- -$300
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $776.89
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $738.17
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas position
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $710.13
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.33
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $593.45
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $509.29
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition position
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.55
BIG position
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.44
Movistar KOI position
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.54
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.62
Eintracht Spandau position
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.43
Team Vitality position
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $226.51
HANJIN BRION position
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.78
Team Vitality position
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.71
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.71
Over position
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.3
Team Orange Gaming position
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.27
G2 NORD position
LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.25
Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition position
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver 84% 325.88 shares
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreYes 46% 620.83 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 63% 462.4 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 462.41 shares
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5Over 64% 73.44 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.9% 347.02 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 62% 16.13 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 61.4% 162.98 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 35.2% 283.93 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 9.9% 1,010.02 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 62% 140.34 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 89.3% 347.02 shares