Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$709.07
Polymarket Trader
Mustafalafel
0x8c0b637b43ccbd2069b0f789b8439777fdb4f0fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.72K
- Realized PnL
- $7.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $4.5K
- Potential payout
- $6.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $386.25
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.26K
- Potential profit
- $3.26K
- User PnL
- -$13.03
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Will Vance Bostic win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- User PnL
- -$783.62
Yes position
Will Chi Ossé win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- User PnL
- -$117.71
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$171.72
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $219.57
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $18.82
Yes position
Will Ali Larijani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Current value
- $601.88
- Potential payout
- $750.01
- Potential profit
- $148.13
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $36.38
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $626.9
- Potential payout
- $627.21
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- $16.87
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $447.71
- Potential payout
- $452
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- User PnL
- $117.95
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $169.03
- Potential payout
- $334.72
- Potential profit
- $165.69
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $236
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $14
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $25.66
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $245.74
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $102.32
- Potential payout
- $193.06
- Potential profit
- $90.74
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $21.5
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $185.01
- Potential profit
- $184.92
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$134.96
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $61.57
- Potential payout
- $150.16
- Potential profit
- $88.59
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$37.18
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.01
- Potential profit
- $127.01
- User PnL
- -$16.51
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $43.74
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.87
- Potential profit
- $39.87
- User PnL
- -$6.82
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $5.45
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will Vance Bostic win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $665.9
No position
Will Ali Larijani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.79
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $452.38
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.62
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $182.5
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $167.09
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.13
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.07
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.91
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.5
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.96
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.08
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.49
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.47
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.78
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.8%
- Multiplier
- 9.30x
- User PnL
- $29.5
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $15.94
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.08
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 64.8% 1,636.63 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 26% 2,500 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 42% 1,222 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 58% 3,333 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 62% 1,053.5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 32% 623.17 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 35% 154.85 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 17% 336.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 999.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 73% 1,385.57 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 15 2026?No 74% 200 shares