Polymarket Trader

AharonYediot

0x8c0cf862c03d6de13165d2b199da6bf58ae624d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $363.17
Realized PnL: $1.21K
Win rate: 61.1%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$6

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.85K
Potential profit: $4.85K
User PnL: -$264.53

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $4.39K
User PnL: -$780

No position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.37K
User PnL: -$280.47

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $363.17
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $827.54
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$210.34

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$271

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $656.26
Potential profit: $656.26
User PnL: -$105

Over position

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213
Potential profit: $213
User PnL: -$100.11

Yes position

Will Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.63
Potential profit: $211.63
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162
Potential profit: $162
User PnL: -$69

Yes position

Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $93.75
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.7
Potential profit: $33.7
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $683.83

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630.84

Over position

Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.36

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.3

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.42

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $139.63

Yes position

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.95

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.65

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.67

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.41

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.04

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40.89

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48.38

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$53.93

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$73.38

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$74.44

Over position

Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.31K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?

Yes 54.2% 416.28 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?

Yes 72.1% 416.29 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 48.2% 1,190.71 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Yes 17.8% 4,385.63 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 35.3% 2,200.73 shares
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Over 45% 2,906.36 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 47% 638.3 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 36.2% 2,200.73 shares
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5

Over 47% 213 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Up 14.8% 33.7 shares
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5

Over 59.5% 910.36 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

No 5.5% 4,847.32 shares