Polymarket Trader

0x8C0dbb927B446fa4437931f0765eae04A177F04C-1770617745081

0x8c0dbb927b446fa4437931f0765eae04a177f04c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.11K
Realized PnL: $2.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $92.11
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$7.89

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $275.32
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $744.38
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$14.35

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $113.25
Potential payout: $817.66
Potential profit: $704.42
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 80.7%
Current value: $395.76
Potential payout: $490.41
Potential profit: $94.65
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $19.76

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $103.18
Potential payout: $234.51
Potential profit: $131.32
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$6.82

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 82.1%
Current value: $132.58
Potential payout: $161.58
Potential profit: $29
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $7.58

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.58
Potential profit: $159.58
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.46
Potential profit: $82.46
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.36

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.87

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.39

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $168.32

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.83

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $131.98

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.65

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.25

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.78

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.49

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.25

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.03

Yes position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.56

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.92

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.89

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.02

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.1

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.73

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.06

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.75

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.89

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.89

No position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Yes 27% 18.52 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Yes 27% 18.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Up 98% 25.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Up 97% 5.15 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 76.8% 6.51 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 76.8% 13.02 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Yes 28% 35.71 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 76.8% 13.02 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 1,247.95 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 91.2% 257.69 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 64.9% 211.15 shares