Polymarket Trader

0x8C14c36fc3174BE5a7a03b917165CEa1982ABb47-1765485144754

0x8c14c36fc3174be5a7a03b917165cea1982abb47

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $129.09
Realized PnL: $168.91
Win rate: 86.7%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $766.67
Potential profit: $766.67
User PnL: -$11.4

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $159.58
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.9%
Current value: $20.52
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $94.43
Multiplier: 5.60x
User PnL: $10.52

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $14.37
Potential payout: $90.09
Potential profit: $75.72
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $4.37

Yes position

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $8.46
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $68.46
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $11.19
Potential payout: $64.94
Potential profit: $53.74
Multiplier: 5.80x
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $23.22
Potential payout: $60.24
Potential profit: $37.02
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $13.22

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.67
Potential profit: $46.67
User PnL: -$28.2

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.9%
Current value: $19.95
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $15.13
Multiplier: 1.76x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $26.62
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.21

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 16.4%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $19.68
Multiplier: 6.11x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 22.9%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $16.77
Multiplier: 4.37x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 52.1%
Current value: $9.83
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $9.03
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.38

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $21.74

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.12

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.62

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.45

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.02

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

No position

Grok 4.20 released by January 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.1%
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: -$1.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 169.49 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 17% 23.53 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57% 35.09 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 53% 18.87 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 14% 35.71 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 63% 47.62 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 49% 20.41 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 30% 16.67 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 23.3% 123.45 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 56% 217.39 shares