Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $176.86
- Potential payout
- $860.62
- Potential profit
- $683.76
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$46.64
Polymarket Trader
0x8c19...a4be
0x8c19c86ae6b65b1b9d49f9caeabbd49d6c6fa4be
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.44K
- Realized PnL
- $68.13
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $602.08
- Potential payout
- $685.35
- Potential profit
- $83.27
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $33.38
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $340.37
- Potential payout
- $436.09
- Potential profit
- $95.72
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $183.38
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $264.17
- Potential payout
- $320.21
- Potential profit
- $56.04
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$11.21
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $15.37
- Potential payout
- $79.64
- Potential profit
- $64.27
- Multiplier
- 5.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Current value
- $38.03
- Potential payout
- $48.41
- Potential profit
- $10.38
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- $43.71
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.35
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $6.27
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 26.1% 801.45 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 62.7% 312.57 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 36% 1,532.07 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 63.4% 312.57 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.2% 730.35 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo 62% 125.34 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 83.6% 896.07 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 3.9% 252.97 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 28% 255.75 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.3% 210.21 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 22% 176.54 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 17.7% 847.1 shares