Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $255
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.75K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
rustin123
0x8c211db67d146cddfca94ccf2cd614483d3eadaf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.44K
- Realized PnL
- $4.49K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $610
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.39K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $530
Yes position
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $133.75
- Potential payout
- $10.29K
- Potential profit
- $10.15K
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$263.68
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $345
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.66K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $175
Yes position
Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- User PnL
- -$8.67
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Emma Navarro win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.72K
- Potential profit
- $2.72K
- User PnL
- -$13.09
Yes position
Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- User PnL
- -$15.77
Yes position
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- User PnL
- -$35.69
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $20.22
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$6.02
Yes position
Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$15.45
Yes position
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$23.01
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $985.81
- Potential profit
- $985.81
- User PnL
- -$197.13
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $401.73
- Potential profit
- $401.73
- User PnL
- -$15.65
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $393.36
- Potential profit
- $388.25
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$23.35
Yes position
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.87
- Potential profit
- $291.87
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $14.31
- Potential payout
- $272.64
- Potential profit
- $258.33
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $8.86
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $265.6
- Potential profit
- $260.95
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $624.83
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.14
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.89
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.29
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $183.71
Yes position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.6
Alcaraz position
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Auger-Aliassime position
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.43
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $43.48
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.35
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $16.26
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 23-29?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.9% 10,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes 20% 783 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 43% 100 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 36% 100 shares
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Yes 14.1% 90.68 shares
- Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.9% 3,334 shares
- Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Yes 0.2% 1,845.58 shares
- Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Yes 0.3% 3,159.5 shares
- Will Emma Navarro win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Yes 0.5% 2,720 shares
- Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Yes 0.5% 100 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 1.5% 664.62 shares
- Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Yes 0.5% 197.15 shares