Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $30.24
- Potential payout
- $154.3
- Potential profit
- $124.05
- Multiplier
- 5.10x
- User PnL
- $25.24
Polymarket Trader
chrisanker
0x8c2a9c03a3d82eab08a0c8b08e3fcde184578d45
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.94
- Realized PnL
- -$50.23
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $11.13
- Potential payout
- $140.04
- Potential profit
- $128.91
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $118.58
- Potential profit
- $116.05
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $83.85
- Potential profit
- $83.55
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Current value
- $15.81
- Potential payout
- $62.98
- Potential profit
- $47.17
- Multiplier
- 3.98x
- User PnL
- $10.81
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $61.78
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$4.28
Yes position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $58.79
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.87
No position
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$5.2
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $16.41
Yes position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during ANTIFA Roundtable on October 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.03
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Yes position
Will no one dissent October Fed decision?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Yes 1.2% 83.85 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Yes 4.2% 118.58 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes 3.6% 140.04 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes 3.2% 154.3 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes 7.9% 62.98 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 34.1% 63 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes 42% 12 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?No 13% 40 shares
- Will no one dissent October Fed decision?Yes 9% 56 shares
- OpenAI browser by October 31?Yes 99.9% 9 shares