No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $2.97K
- Potential payout
- $8.37K
- Potential profit
- $5.4K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $41.85
Polymarket Trader
Crypto1Mark
0x8c38dbdb2c8e50dc12787f01f6ed031a058a83d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.99K
- Realized PnL
- $8.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $13.88
- Potential profit
- $12.98
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$4.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $13.88
- Potential profit
- $8.68
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $6.19
- Potential payout
- $10.86
- Potential profit
- $4.67
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $8.53
- Potential profit
- $5.93
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.16
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.33
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.66
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 64°F or higher on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?Yes 46% 10.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 20?Yes 14% 5.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 19?Yes 18% 13.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 21?Yes 36% 13.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 20?Yes 30% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 20?Yes 32% 7.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 19?Yes 11% 4.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 21?Yes 36% 13.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 20?Yes 5% 60 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 1% 1,010 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 20?Yes 36% 13.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?Yes 38% 13.15 shares