Mriz96

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $9.81K
Potential payout: $10.4K
Potential profit: $587.6
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.74K

Yes position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $85.64
Potential payout: $5.53K
Potential profit: $5.44K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$2.68K

No position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $5.44K
Potential payout: $5.53K
Potential profit: $85.64
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.68K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$1.3K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $58.4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $156.88

No position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $81.25
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $81.75

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $959.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $40.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $103.5

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $588.25
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $61.75
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $160.75

ThunderTalk Gaming position

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$214.99

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $291.5
Potential payout: $356.14
Potential profit: $64.64
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$6.43

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $24.81
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $100.19
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$37.69

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $100.19
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $24.81
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $37.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

BC.Game Esports position

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.99

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.99

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.4

Los Ratones position

LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.49

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.35

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.8

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340

OKSavingsBank BRION position

LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.5

Yes position

Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.23

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.02

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.17

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270

No position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.12

Team WE position

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.5

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.22

Inner Circle Esports position

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

Team WE position

LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.75

JD Gaming position

LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.25

B8 position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?