Polymarket Trader

ubmab

0x8c3cca16d024a08f00302f8e9326798b3197842f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.65
Realized PnL: $9.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Wales win?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.51
Potential profit: $25.51
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.35
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.51
Potential profit: $16.51
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.3
Potential profit: $14.3
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Italy win?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Italy win?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.84
Potential profit: $9.84
User PnL: -$5.01

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.19
Potential profit: $7.19
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.98
Potential profit: $4.98
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Scotland win?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.57
Potential profit: $1.57
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $1.39
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Italy win?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Wales win?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Down 51% 1.93 shares
Will Wales win?

Yes 41% 2.44 shares
Will England win?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Scotland win?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Down 99% 1.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Up 63% 1.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Down 15% 4.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Down 2.1% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Down 8% 4.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Up 50.9% 9.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Down 5% 9.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 71% 1.39 shares