No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Kilter
0x8c494374115bbda65d61f1d6fa86fa6f229f6a91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $669.73
- Realized PnL
- $114.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $286.58
- Potential payout
- $292.88
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $26.62
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $281.89
- Potential payout
- $286.33
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11.9
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.6
- Potential profit
- $245.6
- User PnL
- -$10.61
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $65.88
- Potential payout
- $67.53
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.88
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $46.21
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.74
- Potential profit
- $37.74
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $25.54
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $5.17
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $21.35
- Potential profit
- $18.09
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $5.27
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $8.24
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $11.59
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $7.56
- Multiplier
- 5.95x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.4%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $4.87
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 1.81x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.13
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11.74
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.06
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $7.73
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $6.09
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.76x
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.53
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 772 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 51% 5.88 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?No 90.6% 55.21 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No 84% 35.71 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 78% 79.15 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 61% 13.84 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 44.5% 18.68 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 65% 13.85 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 77% 25.97 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?No 90% 66.64 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No 88% 31.82 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?No 95.2% 231.12 shares