Polymarket Trader

dafa26

0x8c641e0eddfd4ce555fd84f1a1d53e33839ee285

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.73
Realized PnL: $35.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.85
Potential profit: $11.85
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.87
Potential profit: $7.87
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $6.74
Potential payout: $7.79
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.16
Potential profit: $7.16
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.68
Potential profit: $6.68
User PnL: -$5.97

Yes position

Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.62
Potential profit: $5.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$5

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5.38
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $5.36
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will AZZ (AZZ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.21
Potential profit: $4.21
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Abbott Laboratories (ABT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.3
Potential profit: $3.3
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.22
Potential profit: $3.22
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Iran strike on US military by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on August 23?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Carnival Corporation (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 92% 6.52 shares
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 78.2% 12.79 shares
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 82% 15.85 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 88% 12.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 92.8% 11.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 97.9% 11.24 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?

Yes 92% 7.61 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?

Yes 91% 7.69 shares
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

No 97.8% 7.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

No 96% 7.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

No 89% 7.87 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

No 88% 7.95 shares