Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $14.98K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Polymarket Trader
Sosei
0x8c69bfbeaba026b9f6129c6c0f2e2e3842b64369
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $539.16
- Realized PnL
- $87.49
- Win rate
- 8.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $73.39
- Potential payout
- $5.06K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$26.61
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- User PnL
- -$436.21
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $54.17
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.72K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $106.22
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$92.57
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $58.29
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $10.92
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $49.47
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- $19.47
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$140.5
Y
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $43.23
- Potential payout
- $455
- Potential profit
- $411.78
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.82
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $60.09
- Potential payout
- $310.56
- Potential profit
- $250.47
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $10.09
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-4.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.58
- Potential profit
- $112.58
- User PnL
- -$21.39
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.4%
- Current value
- $50.34
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $45.82
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.38
- Potential profit
- $90.38
- User PnL
- -$23.5
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $78.95
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.45
- Potential profit
- $67.45
- User PnL
- -$42.54
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.38
- Potential profit
- $65.38
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-3.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$15
Netherlands position
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $21.49
- Potential payout
- $42.55
- Potential profit
- $21.06
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.25
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.23
Portugal position
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Germany position
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Japan position
Spread: Japan (-2.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Brazil position
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Japan position
Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
France position
Spread: France (-2.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco 63% 15.87 shares
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Côte dIvoire 42% 35.71 shares
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Netherlands 47% 42.55 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 52% 38.46 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 52% 57.69 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 54% 37.04 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes 60% 33.33 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes 51% 39.22 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 75% 26.67 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?Yes 71% 21.13 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes 41% 24.39 shares