Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Jamesneodur
0x8c6af91b88ab0033155c3e0000d8def2c5955e48
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $118.86
- Realized PnL
- $33.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Semisi Sika be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $325
- Potential profit
- $325
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.85
- Potential profit
- $287.85
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282.4
- Potential profit
- $282.4
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206
- Potential profit
- $206
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $118.86
- Potential payout
- $120.73
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.23
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will Usyk beat Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?
Ends Apr 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp)
Yes position
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Google forced to sell Chrome?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Solana reach $350 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Russian Ruble ₽110 to $1 USD by December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 99.7% 10.53 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 99.3% 110.2 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.8% 94.19 shares
- Will Solana reach $100 in May?No 99.8% 6.01 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?No 99.8% 33.47 shares
- Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 99.8% 90.72 shares
- Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No 99.7% 2.81 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.7% 1.81 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No 93% 12.04 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 97.8% 86.5 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.2% 2.52 shares
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 98.2% 43.99 shares