Polymarket Trader

dadamiao

0x8c6f853fd4da8aa8d16a9a12bb08080e8558c9a0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $140.04
Realized PnL: $441.03
Win rate: 73.7%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $138.05
Potential payout: $139.23
Potential profit: $1.18
User PnL: $8.05

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $6.21
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $6.21
Potential profit: $5.36
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.21

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.89

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.9

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99.9% 63.37 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 23% 3.12 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 74% 0.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 76% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 53% 14.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 32% 3.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 73% 13.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 27% 28.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 63% 15.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 92.8% 107.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 37% 8.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 46% 21.74 shares