No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $33.77K
- Potential payout
- $37.31K
- Potential profit
- $3.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Polymarket Trader
MajoriT
0x8c76c4787bf236398d2d1a42dd3e8af1393206ac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $95.71K
- Realized PnL
- $41.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $23.96K
- Potential payout
- $24.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $929.33
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.62K
- Potential profit
- $24.62K
- User PnL
- -$24.33K
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.09K
- Potential profit
- $20.09K
- User PnL
- -$5.03K
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.97K
- Potential payout
- $13.58K
- Potential profit
- $11.61K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.54K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $13.46K
- Potential profit
- $11.73K
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $216.92
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $12.54K
- Potential payout
- $12.62K
- Potential profit
- $82.05
- User PnL
- $305.58
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $8.01K
- Potential payout
- $8.47K
- Potential profit
- $465.95
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $953.39
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $4.56K
- Multiplier
- 4.18x
- User PnL
- $124.88
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $4.01K
- Multiplier
- 3.02x
- User PnL
- -$381.79
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.02K
- Potential profit
- $5.02K
- User PnL
- -$43.23
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $32.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.97K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.3%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $4.91K
- Potential profit
- $3.72K
- Multiplier
- 4.12x
- User PnL
- -$118.69
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.96K
- Potential profit
- $3.96K
- User PnL
- -$613.62
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $3.51K
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $188.8
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $132.08
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $468.35
- Potential payout
- $3.47K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$664.44
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.6K
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $305.41
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $24.56
Yes position
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- User PnL
- -$1.76K
Yes position
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $774.93
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $128.92
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $59.99
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$517.73
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.6%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $373.24
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$30.47
No position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03K
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88K
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $977.17
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.3
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $850.96
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $840.22
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $804
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $758.38
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $734.3
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $720.93
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $706.99
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $659.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No 98.4% 372.87 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 27% 1,000 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes 32.3% 1,499.99 shares
- Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?No 95% 1,590 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 24?No 66% 203 shares
- Will Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes 13% 25 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No 99.9% 5,721.18 shares
- Will Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes 50.2% 100.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 19% 5,690 shares
- Will Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes 40% 20 shares
- Will Adam Wharton be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?No 98% 1,005.18 shares
- Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?No 93.7% 700 shares