Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0x8C7A95Ae25949C11210d42D6bE33580C5F682a74-1768520373297
0x8c7a95ae25949c11210d42d6be33580c5f682a74
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $181.22
- Realized PnL
- $159.72
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $935
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will the US strike Iraq next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $553.59
- Potential profit
- $553.59
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $53
- Potential payout
- $530
- Potential profit
- $477
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$47
Yes position
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in March 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $426.45
- Potential profit
- $426.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $388
- Potential profit
- $388
- User PnL
- -$11.1
Patriots position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $279.07
- Potential profit
- $279.07
- User PnL
- -$89.94
Yes position
Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.83
- Potential profit
- $214.83
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $57.08
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $92.93
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $11.58
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 110 billion views by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.56
- Potential profit
- $140.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.63
- Potential profit
- $129.63
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.5
- Potential profit
- $112.5
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk unfollow Grimes by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.08
- Potential profit
- $104.08
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.85
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2.67
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.46
- Potential profit
- $86.46
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $149.49
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.61
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.3
Yes position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.73
Yes position
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.56
Yes position
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes 27% 74.07 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes 27% 55.56 shares
- Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 21% 9.7 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 31.7% 100 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.9% 100 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 27.6% 36 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes 91.2% 11.9 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 57.3% 26 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?Yes 19% 25.05 shares
- Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Yes 5.5% 83.33 shares