Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $5.74
- Potential payout
- $395.92
- Potential profit
- $390.18
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Polymarket Trader
0x8c7b...4353
0x8c7b9cf97cef588f470b13c0a9cc746e87234353
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $21.18
- Realized PnL
- -$4.07
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $5.72
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $98.28
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $83.99
- Potential profit
- $83.31
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $36.76
- Potential profit
- $31.87
- Multiplier
- 7.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $30.77
- Potential profit
- $26.62
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 21.7% 41.38 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 13.6% 36.76 shares
- Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?Yes 56% 11.21 shares
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes 5% 104 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 4.8% 83.99 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 13% 30.77 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.3% 395.92 shares