No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.58K
- Potential profit
- $21.58K
- User PnL
- -$15.25K
Polymarket Trader
jesus911
0x8c8abe4b2a74a8b8c894b9acc88df3309c01e62a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.91K
- Realized PnL
- $39.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.34K
- Potential profit
- $19.34K
- User PnL
- -$7.53K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $2.07K
- Potential payout
- $5.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.04K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $67.47
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $825
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $275
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $655.84
- Potential profit
- $655.84
- User PnL
- -$501
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $22.09
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $210.47
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$77.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.87K
Yes position
Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92K
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2K
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $977.8
Yes position
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $841.8
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $766.18
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $749.16
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $647.49
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $625.82
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.64
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.96
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.39
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.14
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369
Yes position
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.36
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.88
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.37
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.13
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No 73% 1,100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 39.2% 5,104.84 shares
- Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Yes 12.8% 2,999.99 shares
- Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Yes 17% 918.67 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 43.8% 6,848.1 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 99.8% 16.12 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.8% 17,883.74 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 92.9% 26,486.33 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 62% 16,129.03 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 57% 1,754.39 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 98.5% 2,208.48 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No 73.5% 18,520.16 shares