Polymarket Trader

0x8c948f18b27Df91842be760eA4FF4EEe2d462e06-1777300930340

0x8c948f18b27df91842be760ea4ff4eee2d462e06

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $182.75
Realized PnL: $520.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $4.32
Potential payout: $149
Potential profit: $144.68
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: $3.05

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $88.1
Potential payout: $119.06
Potential profit: $30.96
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.95
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $66.98
Potential profit: $65.61
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$3.39

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.42
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $35.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $32.33
Potential payout: $37.6
Potential profit: $5.26
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $10.62
Potential payout: $35.41
Potential profit: $24.79
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.08
Potential profit: $30.08
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $8.99
Potential profit: $8.86
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $7.04
Potential profit: $2.29
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.5
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83
Potential profit: $1.83
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $1.48
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.46

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.29

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.11

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $36

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.59

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.8

Yes position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.5

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.67

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.71

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.22

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.37

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.91

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.06

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.7

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $13.69

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.27

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.13

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.65

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.16

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.48

1WIN position

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.17

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 31% 22.23 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

No 74% 139.06 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

No 81% 359.91 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 68% 7.04 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 8% 20 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 79% 50 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

No 76% 50.86 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 83% 5 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Paraguay 97% 150 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Paraguay 67% 5 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

No 20% 10 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

No 52% 20 shares