Polymarket Trader

necobra

0x8c951fd99b851c9e5eaa1b1ed8dfebeec70642a6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $71.21
Realized PnL: $152.84
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-11-27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $29.49
Potential payout: $34.09
Potential profit: $4.6
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $30.51
Potential payout: $33.71
Potential profit: $3.2
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Kanye West arrested in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.74
Potential profit: $27.74
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $10.23
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $5.39
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Assad leaves Russia before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.42
Potential profit: $3.42
User PnL: -$0.04

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $1.96
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

No position

Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

NRG position

Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO1)

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.83

Fluxo position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Fluxo (BO1)

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.65

No position

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.36

No position

Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98

No position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Vitality position

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

No position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

Yes position

Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.95

No position

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $2.9

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21

No position

Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

No position

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Portugal 34% 2.94 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?

No 88% 34.09 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 89% 33.71 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Portugal 69% 2.9 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 64% 15.63 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?

Yes 3.6% 11.05 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

No 13% 15.38 shares
Map Handicap: OX (-1.5) vs ALT F4 (+1.5)

ALT F4 99.9% 200 shares
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Playoffs

Nemiga 99.9% 222 shares
Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)

Nuclear TigeRES 99.9% 7.11 shares
Map Handicap: 33 (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)

Nemiga 99.9% 200 shares